Executive Summary of Peer-reviewed GW Science

Marc Morano has compiled a great list of the latest peer-reviewed scientific studies and quotes from scientists against alarmism. I have composed an executive summary from quotes from it for you all:


Studies:

1.Stephen Schwartz, Brookhaven National Lab scientist. This study accepted for publication in the Journal of Geophysical Research concludes, according to AEI’s Joel Schwartz, that the “Earth’s climate is only about one-third as sensitive to carbon dioxide as the IPCC assumes.”

2.About the Schwartz study former Harvard physicist Dr. Lubos Motl says, “Recall that most of the 1.1 degree – about 0.7 degrees – has already occurred since the beginning of the industrial era. This fact itself is an indication that the climate sensitivity is unlikely to be much greater than 1 Celsius degree: the effect of most of the doubling has already been made and it led to 0.7 K of warming,” Motl wrote in an August 17, 2007 blog post. (LINK)

3.Dr. Ian Wilson, a former operations astronomer at the Hubble Space Telescope Institute in Baltimore MD, referring to the trillions of dollars that would be spent under such international global warming treaties like the Kyoto Protocol, says, “Effectively, this (Schwartz’s study) means that the global economy will spend trillions of dollars trying to avoid a warming of ~ 1.0 K by 2100 A.D.” Dr. Wilson wrote this in a note to the Senate Environment & Public Works Committee on August 19, 2007.

4.Excerpt from Anastasios A. Tsonis, Kyle Swanson, and Sergey Kravtsov: Atmospheric Sciences Group, Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, Wisconsin study published in Geophysical Research Letters: “Tsonis et al. investigate the collective behavior of known climate cycles such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, the North Atlantic Oscillation, the El Nino/Southern Oscillation, and the North Pacific Oscillation. By studying the last 100 years of these cycles’ patterns, they find that the systems synchronized several times. Further, in cases where the synchronous state was followed by an increase in the coupling strength among the cycles, the synchronous state was destroyed. Then a new climate state emerged, associated with global temperature changes and El Nino/Southern Oscillation variability. The authors show that this mechanism explains all global temperature tendency changes and El Nino variability in the 20th century.”

5.A study published on August 9, 2007 by University of Alabama Huntsville’s Dr. Roy Spencer, Dr. John R. Christy and Dr. W. Danny Braswell, and Dr. Justin Hnilo of Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA. (LINK) in the Geophysical Research Letters finds that climate models fail test against real clouds. “To give an idea of how strong this enhanced cooling mechanism is, if it was operating on global warming, it would reduce estimates of future warming by over 75 percent,” Dr. Roy Spencer said.

[Note: I like how Dr. Spencer elaborates about his study on the Univ. of Alabama website, “All leading climate models forecast that as the atmosphere warms there should be an increase in high altitude cirrus clouds, which would amplify any warming caused by manmade greenhouse gases. That amplification is a positive feedback. What we found in month-to-month fluctuations of the tropical climate system was a strongly negative feedback. As the tropical atmosphere warms, cirrus clouds decrease. That allows more infrared heat to escape from the atmosphere to outer space.” (emphasis mine)

6.Richard Mackey in the Journal of Coastal Research – Excerpt: “According to the findings reviewed in this paper, the variable output of the sun, the sun’s gravitational relationship between the earth (and the moon) and earth’s variable orbital relationship with the sun, regulate the earth’s climate. (LINK) & (LINK)

7.Charles D. Camp and Ka Kit Tung, Department of Applied Mathematics, University of Washington, Seattle, in Geophysical Research Letters (LINK) found that times of high solar activity are on average 0.2 degrees C warmer than times of low solar activity, and that there is a polar amplification of the warming. This result is the first to document a statistically significant globally coherent temperature response to the solar cycle, the authors note.

8.Chinese scientists Lin Zhen-Shan and Sun Xian’s 2007 study, published in the peer-reviewed Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, noted that CO2’s impact on warming may be “excessively exaggerated.” It is high time to reconsider the trend of global climate change,” the two scientists concluded. (LINK) & (LINK)

Quotes from Scientists:

9.In August 2007, the UK Met Office was finally forced to concede the obvious: global warming has stopped. (LINK)

10.Dr. Jim Renwick, a top UN IPCC scientist, admitted that climate models do not account for half the variability in nature and thus are not reliable. (LINK)

11.Meteorologist Joseph Conklin wrote in an August 10, 2007 blog post (LINK), ““The (U.S.) National Climate Data Center (NCDC) is in the middle of a scandal. Their global observing network, the heart and soul of surface weather measurement, is a disaster. Urbanization has placed many sites in unsuitable locations — on hot black asphalt, next to trash burn barrels, beside heat exhaust vents, even attached to hot chimneys and above outdoor grills!” (LINK)

12.Climatologist Dr. Timothy Ball recently explained that one of the reasons climate models are failing is because they overestimate the warming effect of CO2 in the atmosphere, Ball explained in a June 6, 2007 article in Canada Free Press. (LINK)

13.Boston College paleoclimatologist Dr. Amy Frappier, “At some point the heat-trapping capacity of [CO2] and its effect gets saturated and you don’t have increased heating.” (LINK)

14.In May 2007, the “father of meteorology” Dr. Reid Bryson, the founding chairman of the Department of Meteorology at University of Wisconsin, dismissed fears of increased man-made CO2 in the atmosphere saying, (LINK) “All this argument is the temperature going up or not, it’s absurd. Of course it’s going up. It has gone up since the early 1800s, before the Industrial Revolution, because we’re coming out of the Little Ice Age, not because we’re putting more carbon dioxide into the air.”

15.Paleoclimate scientist Bob Carter, who has testified before the U.S. Senate Committee on Environment & Public Works (LINK), noted in a June 18, 2007 essay that global warming has stopped. “The accepted global average temperature statistics used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change show that no ground-based warming has occurred since 1998. Oddly, this eight-year-long temperature stasis has occurred despite an increase over the same period of 15 parts per million (or 4 per cent) in atmospheric CO2. Second, lower atmosphere satellite-based temperature measurements, if corrected for non-greenhouse influences such as El Nino events and large volcanic eruptions, show little if any global warming since 1979, a period over which atmospheric CO2 has increased by 55 ppm (17 %),” (LINK)