Ozone Depletion’s Lessons For Global Warming: New Study Offers Evidence Against Kyoto Protocol

Ozone Depletion’s Lessons For Global Warming: New Study Offers Evidence Against Kyoto Protocol

November 02, 1998

Washington, D.C. November 3, 1998 – A new study published by the Competitive Enterprise Institute explains why the 1987 Montreal Protocol, the ozone treaty, should serve as a warning for those negotiating the global warming treaty. Doomsday Déjà Vu: Ozone Depletion’s Lessons For Global Warming, by CEI Research Associate Ben Lieberman, is a thorough examination of the lessons of the Montreal Protocol.

For years, proponents of the Montreal Protocol have claimed that it was a low-cost success. In addition, they proclaimed it a model for the Kyoto Protocol on global warming. However, the evidence does not support their claims. As Mr. Lieberman reveals in his paper:

  • The threat from ozone depletion proved to be substantially less than originally claimed. Thus, the supposed benefits are much lower.
  • The costs have been and continue to be substantial.
  • Global compliance has been inconsistent.

"The mistakes of the Montreal Protocol will be even more pronounced if repeated in the Kyoto Protocol," comments Lieberman. "While CFCs are an important class of chemicals, carbon dioxide, the chief greenhouse gas, is the ubiquitous by-product of all fossil fuel consumption, which forms the backbone of every healthy economy."

"Moreover, the difficulties and inequities in globally implementing and enforcing the Montreal Protocol should raise serious doubts that the more ambitious Kyoto Protocol could work as intended," Lieberman continued. "Other than the U.S., few nations have strongly enforced the Montreal Protocol domestically, largely due to the high cost of restricted CFC availability."

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