Team Biden’s Extending the COVID Emergency Again — to Expand the Welfare State

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It’s official. Despite President Biden’s recent admission that the pandemic is over, his team will extend the COVID-19 public health emergency through at least April 11, 2023. This has nothing to do with any emergency — it is to allow the administration to extend pandemic-era policies that expand the welfare state.

Biden — in one of his unguarded, truth-telling gaffes — was correct: The pandemic emergency phase is over. New COVID cases began to decline in late July and have been relatively stable over the past month; new COVID hospitalizations have been steadily falling since late July; the percentage of emergency room visitors diagnosed with COVID hasn’t been rising; COVID death rates have been dropping since August.

And vaccines and therapeutics are readily available, so available, in fact, that millions of doses are going unused.

Extending the emergency is aimed at keeping as many people as possible dependent on Medicaid — the federal-state health program that covers more than 1 in 4 Americans — even though large and growing numbers of beneficiaries are ineligible.

Enrollment has risen to unprecedented levels, due in large part to the March 2020 Families First Coronavirus Response Act’s continuous-coverage requirement, which prohibits state Medicaid agencies from disenrolling ineligible beneficiaries while the public health emergency lasts.

After declining in the two years before the pandemic, Medicaid enrollment grew by an estimated 19 million (more than 26%) between February 2020 and July 2022 because states can no longer assess and remove ineligible enrollees.

Under normal circumstances, states periodically redetermine Medicaid recipients’ eligibility to account for changed circumstances such as new employment, altered family status and increased income. The promise of a 6.2% temporary increase in the federal government’s share of total Medicaid costs enticed states into forgoing this process. As a result, they face the prospect of weeding out more than three years of ineligible beneficiaries.

The Urban Institute predicted nearly 16 million people could be cut from Medicaid rolls if the emergency ended after 2022’s third quarter. But Team Biden just confirmed it will renew the 90-day extension that expires in January, so the number will undoubtedly be higher.

Groups like Families USA (a long-time advocate of Medicaid expansion) and nursing home trade associations like the American Health Care Association and the National Center for Assisted Living (whose 14,000 members derive huge revenue from Medicaid) pressured the administration to extend the emergency, ostensibly so states can prepare for the unprecedentedly large Medicaid eligibility redeterminations that will start once it’s over. These groups also raised the specter that some people will lose health insurance coverage.

But states have long been aware of the impending problem — they’ve been expressing concern for more than a year about the redetermination backlog that grows with each emergency extension.

States will have ample time to complete the process: The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services has advised them they’ll have 14 months after the emergency ends to process ineligible recipients, with no consequence for taking longer. And the CMS guidance includes extensive procedural protections for enrollees.

Read the full article at The New York Post.