Well, what swine flu isn’t doing this week is apparently less than what it wasn’t doing last week. In other words, it appears to have peaked.
How do we know?
Here we see it’s going down the right side of the bell curve both in terms of deaths and hospitalizations.
And there’s both a massive decline in samples submitted to CDC surveillance labs and a small decline in those testing positive.
College infections have essentially gone flat.
And finally we see from the Australian swine flu data in figures 1,2, and 7 that swine flu does indeed resemble the normal epidemiological curve. Once cases start going down they keep going down.
Unfortunately, the “hysteria curve” as indicated by emergency room visits is still at the highest level in the century. You can probably credit the Obama administration declaration of a “national emergency” for that.